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Tuesday 13 September 2011

Anna, Wikileaks rewrite political equations in UP

Congress:


Anna Hazare's movement against corruption has virtually taken the sting out of Congress attack against Uttar Pradesh chief minister Mayawati on the issue of corruption. What has added to the chaos is internal bickering on the issue of ticket distribution for the 2012 assembly elections.

The central leadership is hurrying with the Land Acquisition Bill to compensate the loss due to the Anna effect. Congress would also like to bring a Lokpal Bill, which may not be as strong as Anna"s Jan Lokpal Bill, but acceptable to a majority in the parliament. However, the task may not an easy one, as BJP and Left parties will not give up easily on corruption and Lokpal issue.

In such a situation, it will be essential for Congress to enter into an alliance or at least a seat sharing formula with small parties like RLD for 2012 assembly polls. However, party leaders admit that post-Anna movement, their bargaining power has reduced. In a bid to minimise the loss caused due to Anna effect, the Congress is not only playing communal card by projecting RSS hand in Anna's movement, but may also announce reservation for Muslims in government educational institutes and job.

Besides (mis)using CBI probe against SP chief Mulayam Singh Yadav in disproportionate assets case, another factor, which will decide its future relations with SP is the WikiLeaks expose that Congress president Sonia Gandhi was in favour of fielding a weak candidate against Mulayam Singh Yadav's daughter-in-law in 2009 Firozabad parliamentary by-elections. But, Rahul put the foot down and fielded Raj Babbar, who won the seat. The anxiety in Congress is not about 2012 alone. A loss in assembly election may have a cascading effect on 2014 general election. At stake is Gandhi scion's credibility.

Bahujan Samaj Party:

The WikiLeaks expose has given the Opposition a weapon to launch a personal attack on Mayawati, who has been taking high moral ground after sacking four ministers on charges of corruption in recent past. Though the party has not changed its strategy for the 2012 polls, leaders admit that WikiLeaks have injected 'some amount of mistrust' in Team Maya, which may have an adverse impact on poll results.

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